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28 Sept 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.2%
Blackburn
29.5%
Draw
30.3%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Blackburn

vs
1.09

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).