Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Liverpool
25.3%
Draw
27.4%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Liverpool
vs
1.39
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).