Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Amiens
21.5%
Draw
23.5%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Amiens
vs
1.12
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.1%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).