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AHT: 10CSV

01 May 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.8%
Kayserispor
25.7%
Draw
61.5%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Kayserispor

vs
1.99

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).