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06 Apr 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.9%
Charleroi
30.2%
Draw
25.9%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Charleroi

vs
0.88

Standard

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).