Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Ulm
25.2%
Draw
53.6%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Ulm
vs
1.80
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).