Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Mansfield
26.9%
Draw
36.2%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Mansfield
vs
1.09
Stockport
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).