Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Preston
26.5%
Draw
32.1%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Preston
vs
1.33
Leicester
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).