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11 Jan 2026 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.8%
Sheffield United
13.8%
Draw
62.4%
Mansfield

Expected Goals (xG)

2.71

Sheffield United

vs
4.06

Mansfield

Markets

BTTS91.7%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.599.1%
Over 2.596.5%
Over 3.590.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-4
4.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
4.3%
3-3
4.3%
2-5
3.9%
1-4
3.5%
3-5
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-4
2.9%
4-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).