Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Bari
26.4%
Draw
50.9%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Bari
vs
1.69
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).