Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
WSG Tirol
27.1%
Draw
39.7%
Sturm Graz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
WSG Tirol
vs
1.46
Sturm Graz
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).