Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.7%
Harrogate
23.2%
Draw
58.1%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Harrogate
vs
1.67
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).