Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.2%
Augsburg
12.4%
Draw
81.4%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Augsburg
vs
3.00
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
10.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
0-4
7.7%
0-1
6.5%
1-4
6.0%
1-1
5.7%
0-5
4.6%
1-5
3.6%
2-3
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).