Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Hartlepool
25.7%
Draw
49.5%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Hartlepool
vs
1.43
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).