Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Troyes
21.7%
Draw
23.6%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Troyes
vs
1.06
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).