Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Mantova
28.4%
Draw
25.0%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Mantova
vs
1.04
Bari
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).