Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Levante
29.1%
Draw
20.6%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Levante
vs
0.70
Burgos
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).