Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Crawley Town
25.5%
Draw
35.6%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Crawley Town
vs
1.25
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).