Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.1%
Mantova
25.6%
Draw
56.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Mantova
vs
1.75
Monza
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).