Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Tenerife
35.6%
Draw
33.7%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Tenerife
vs
0.81
Leganes
Markets
BTTS29.3%
Over 0.579.2%
Over 1.546.2%
Over 2.520.7%
Over 3.57.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.8%
0-1
17.0%
1-0
15.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
1-2
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
2.0%
0-3
1.8%
3-0
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).