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27 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.5%
Hyde United
33.6%
Draw
49.8%
Matlock Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.46

Hyde United

vs
1.04

Matlock Town

Markets

BTTS23.6%
Over 0.578.1%
Over 1.544.0%
Over 2.519.2%
Over 3.56.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
23.5%
0-0
21.9%
0-2
12.0%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
5.6%
0-3
4.2%
2-1
2.5%
2-0
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-2
1.3%
0-4
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).