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17 Feb 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.4%
Hansa Rostock
18.5%
Draw
71.1%
Hamburg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Hansa Rostock

vs
2.37

Hamburg

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).