Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Kilmarnock
23.0%
Draw
60.1%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Kilmarnock
vs
1.89
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.0%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).