Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.8%
Norwich
26.7%
Draw
63.5%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Norwich
vs
1.53
Burnley
Markets
BTTS29.0%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.4%
0-2
16.2%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
10.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-4
3.1%
2-1
2.1%
2-2
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).