Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Oxford
27.8%
Draw
47.8%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Oxford
vs
1.52
Southampton
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).