Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.5%
Lens
14.5%
Draw
8.0%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Lens
vs
0.61
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).