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11 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.1%
Dundee United
23.4%
Draw
19.5%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Dundee United

vs
1.04

Livingston

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).