Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Salernitana
31.2%
Draw
47.4%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Salernitana
vs
1.30
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
13.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).