Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Plymouth
25.2%
Draw
18.5%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Plymouth
vs
0.92
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).