Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Istra 1961
27.7%
Draw
21.6%
Vukovar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Istra 1961
vs
0.99
Vukovar
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).