Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Sassuolo
24.5%
Draw
52.5%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Sassuolo
vs
1.61
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).