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DHT: 10CSV

20 Aug 2023 · 19:45

Rennes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.9%
Lens
19.2%
Draw
17.9%
Rennes

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Lens

vs
1.02

Rennes

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
4-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).