Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Southampton
24.9%
Draw
27.6%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Southampton
vs
1.32
Norwich
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).