Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Lyon
23.1%
Draw
25.7%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Lyon
vs
1.15
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).