Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Valenciennes
27.4%
Draw
37.8%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Valenciennes
vs
1.10
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).