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AHT: 03CSV

11 Feb 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
RWD Molenbeek
24.0%
Draw
57.7%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

RWD Molenbeek

vs
1.82

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.0%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
2.9%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).