Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.4%
FC Koln
9.5%
Draw
7.1%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
4.04
FC Koln
vs
1.32
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS72.3%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.597.2%
Over 2.590.3%
Over 3.578.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-1
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
5-1
5.6%
4-0
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
4-2
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
5-0
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
5-2
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).