Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Pisa
25.2%
Draw
22.8%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Pisa
vs
1.14
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).