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DHT: 11CSV

20 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.6%
Karlsruhe
24.7%
Draw
27.7%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Karlsruhe

vs
1.37

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS63.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).