Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Avellino
30.1%
Draw
37.1%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Avellino
vs
1.25
Perugia
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).