Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Werder Bremen
26.8%
Draw
38.1%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Werder Bremen
vs
1.44
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).