Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Legia Warszawa
23.9%
Draw
34.0%
Lechia Gdańsk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Legia Warszawa
vs
1.64
Lechia Gdańsk
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).