Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Parma
28.7%
Draw
36.3%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Parma
vs
1.33
Venezia
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).