Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Toulouse
26.0%
Draw
18.5%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Toulouse
vs
0.68
Angers
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).