Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Pisa
26.6%
Draw
44.0%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Pisa
vs
1.37
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).