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AHT: 01CSV

01 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.4%
Goztep
31.0%
Draw
12.5%
Kasimpasa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Goztep

vs
0.64

Kasimpasa

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).