Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Peterboro
20.2%
Draw
21.2%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Peterboro
vs
1.06
Burton
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).