Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Dender
23.3%
Draw
54.3%
Genk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Dender
vs
1.88
Genk
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).