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14 Mar 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Sarpsborg 08
17.0%
Draw
67.1%
Bodø / Glimt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Sarpsborg 08

vs
2.59

Bodø / Glimt

Markets

BTTS64.8%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
1-3
7.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
0-3
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-3
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.2%
2-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).