Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Auxerre
30.6%
Draw
42.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Auxerre
vs
1.09
Lille
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).